Estonia vs New Zealand analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
39.4%
Win probability
1.44
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.6%
3-0
3.1%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.9%
2-0
6.4%
3-1
4.1%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.6%
1-0
8.9%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.8%
25.4%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
12%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
25.4%
35.2%
Win probability
1.34
Expected goals
0-1
8.3%
1-2
8%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
19.4%
0-2
5.6%
1-3
3.6%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.2%
0-3
2.5%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Estonia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Sep. 2002 |
CRO
0 - 0
EST
89%
9%
3%
|
68 | 91 | 23 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 2002 |
EST
1 - 0
MDA
52%
24%
24%
|
68 | 69 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 Jul. 2002 |
KAZ
1 - 1
EST
62%
20%
18%
|
68 | 73 | 5 | 0 |
| 03 Jul. 2002 |
EST
0 - 0
AZE
63%
21%
17%
|
68 | 61 | 7 | 0 |
| 21 May. 2002 |
SMR
0 - 1
EST
18%
21%
62%
|
68 | 46 | 22 | 0 |
Matches
New Zealand
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Jul. 2002 |
NZL
1 - 0
AUS
9%
21%
70%
|
71 | 89 | 18 | 0 |
| 12 Jul. 2002 |
NZL
3 - 0
VAN
88%
9%
3%
|
71 | 38 | 33 | 0 |
| 09 Jul. 2002 |
NZL
6 - 1
SOL
86%
10%
4%
|
71 | 43 | 28 | 0 |
| 07 Jul. 2002 |
NZL
9 - 1
PNG
88%
9%
3%
|
71 | 38 | 33 | 0 |
| 05 Jul. 2002 |
NZL
4 - 0
TAH
84%
12%
5%
|
71 | 48 | 23 | 0 |