Estonia vs Norway analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
14.5%
Win probability
0.62
Expected goals
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.4%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.6%
2-0
2.1%
3-1
0.7%
4-2
0.1%
+2
2.9%
1-0
6.9%
2-1
3.4%
3-2
0.5%
4-3
<0%
+1
10.9%
25%
Draw
0-0
11.2%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
2.7%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
25%
60.5%
Win probability
1.57
Expected goals
0-1
17.6%
1-2
8.6%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.1%
-1
27.6%
0-2
13.8%
1-3
4.5%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
18.9%
0-3
7.2%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.2%
-3
9.2%
0-4
2.8%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0%
-4
3.4%
0-5
0.9%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Estonia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Mar. 2005 |
EST
1 - 1
RUS
15%
24%
61%
|
66 | 91 | 25 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 2005 |
EST
1 - 2
SVK
24%
28%
48%
|
66 | 85 | 19 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 2005 |
VEN
3 - 0
EST
71%
17%
12%
|
67 | 79 | 12 | -1 |
| 02 Dec. 2004 |
HUN
5 - 0
EST
80%
14%
7%
|
68 | 86 | 18 | -1 |
| 30 Nov. 2004 |
THA
4 - 3
EST
62%
20%
18%
|
68 | 72 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Norway
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Mar. 2005 |
MDA
0 - 0
NOR
10%
20%
69%
|
92 | 69 | 23 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 2005 |
MLT
0 - 3
NOR
15%
25%
60%
|
92 | 56 | 36 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2005 |
JOR
0 - 0
NOR
17%
26%
58%
|
92 | 78 | 14 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 2005 |
BHR
0 - 1
NOR
18%
26%
57%
|
92 | 77 | 15 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 2005 |
KWT
1 - 1
NOR
20%
26%
54%
|
93 | 80 | 13 | -1 |