Estonia vs Luxembourg analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
78.2%
Win probability
2.36
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.3%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.6%
5-0
3.4%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.1%
4-0
7.1%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
9.1%
3-0
12.1%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
16.4%
2-0
15.3%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
23%
1-0
13%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.2%
15.1%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
7%
2-2
2.2%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
15.1%
6.7%
Win probability
0.54
Expected goals
0-1
3%
1-2
1.9%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0%
-1
5.3%
0-2
0.8%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.2%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-16%
+29%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Estonia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Aug. 2004 |
LIE
1 - 2
EST
7%
16%
77%
|
69 | 17 | 52 | 0 |
| 11 Jun. 2004 |
EST
2 - 4
MKD
42%
26%
32%
|
70 | 75 | 5 | -1 |
| 06 Jun. 2004 |
CZE
2 - 0
EST
85%
11%
4%
|
70 | 94 | 24 | 0 |
| 30 May. 2004 |
EST
2 - 2
DEN
14%
24%
63%
|
70 | 94 | 24 | 0 |
| 27 May. 2004 |
EST
0 - 1
SCO
22%
27%
51%
|
70 | 89 | 19 | 0 |
Matches
Luxembourg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Aug. 2004 |
SVK
3 - 1
LUX
81%
14%
5%
|
38 | 84 | 46 | 0 |
| 29 May. 2004 |
POR
3 - 0
LUX
85%
12%
4%
|
38 | 95 | 57 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2004 |
AUT
4 - 1
LUX
89%
9%
2%
|
38 | 89 | 51 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 2004 |
LUX
1 - 2
BIH
11%
18%
70%
|
39 | 79 | 40 | -1 |
| 24 Feb. 2004 |
LUX
2 - 4
FRO
19%
22%
59%
|
39 | 58 | 19 | 0 |