Estonia vs Lithuania analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
23.7%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.3%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.9%
2-0
3.7%
3-1
2.1%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
6.2%
1-0
7.1%
2-1
6%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
15.1%
24.5%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.5%
51.8%
Win probability
1.65
Expected goals
0-1
11.3%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.1%
0-2
9.3%
1-3
5.3%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
15.8%
0-3
5.1%
1-4
2.2%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
7.7%
0-4
2.1%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.9%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-25%
-15%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Estonia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 May. 1995 |
LVA
2 - 0
EST
70%
19%
11%
|
53 | 67 | 14 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 1995 |
EST
0 - 1
UKR
16%
24%
60%
|
53 | 76 | 23 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 1995 |
SVN
3 - 0
EST
76%
16%
8%
|
54 | 73 | 19 | -1 |
| 25 Mar. 1995 |
ITA
4 - 1
EST
92%
7%
1%
|
54 | 96 | 42 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 1995 |
CYP
3 - 1
EST
62%
22%
17%
|
55 | 58 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Lithuania
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 May. 1995 |
LTU
2 - 1
GRC
31%
27%
43%
|
73 | 81 | 8 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 1995 |
LTU
0 - 1
ITA
8%
22%
69%
|
72 | 96 | 24 | +1 |
| 29 Mar. 1995 |
LTU
0 - 0
CRO
25%
26%
49%
|
72 | 83 | 11 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 1995 |
POL
4 - 1
LTU
85%
11%
5%
|
73 | 88 | 15 | -1 |
| 16 Nov. 1994 |
SVN
1 - 2
LTU
54%
23%
22%
|
72 | 73 | 1 | +1 |