Estonia vs Lithuania analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
22.2%
Win probability
1.02
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.1%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.7%
2-0
3.3%
3-1
2%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
5.8%
1-0
6.5%
2-1
5.8%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
14.2%
23.7%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
5%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.7%
54.1%
Win probability
1.74
Expected goals
0-1
11%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.1%
0-2
9.5%
1-3
5.7%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
16.6%
0-3
5.5%
1-4
2.5%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
8.5%
0-4
2.4%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
3.4%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Estonia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Jun. 1995 |
EST
1 - 3
SVN
26%
26%
49%
|
51 | 73 | 22 | 0 |
| 20 May. 1995 |
EST
0 - 7
LTU
24%
25%
52%
|
52 | 73 | 21 | -1 |
| 19 May. 1995 |
LVA
2 - 0
EST
70%
19%
11%
|
53 | 67 | 14 | -1 |
| 26 Apr. 1995 |
EST
0 - 1
UKR
16%
24%
60%
|
53 | 76 | 23 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 1995 |
SVN
3 - 0
EST
76%
16%
8%
|
54 | 73 | 19 | -1 |
Matches
Lithuania
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Jul. 1995 |
LTU
1 - 1
BLR
51%
25%
24%
|
73 | 72 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 Jun. 1995 |
LTU
2 - 1
SVN
48%
26%
26%
|
73 | 73 | 0 | 0 |
| 21 May. 1995 |
LTU
0 - 2
LVA
61%
23%
17%
|
74 | 68 | 6 | -1 |
| 20 May. 1995 |
EST
0 - 7
LTU
24%
25%
52%
|
73 | 52 | 21 | +1 |
| 17 May. 1995 |
LTU
2 - 1
GRC
31%
27%
43%
|
73 | 81 | 8 | 0 |