Estonia vs Liechtenstein analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
80%
Win probability
2.79
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.8%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1%
6-0
1.9%
7-1
0.6%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.6%
5-0
4.2%
6-1
1.4%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
5.8%
4-0
7.5%
5-1
3%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
11.1%
3-0
10.7%
4-1
5.5%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
17.4%
2-0
11.5%
3-1
7.8%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.6%
1-0
8.3%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.1%
12.9%
Draw
0-0
3%
1-1
6%
2-2
3.1%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
12.9%
7.1%
Win probability
0.73
Expected goals
0-1
2.2%
1-2
2.2%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
5.3%
0-2
0.8%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.5%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-16%
-9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Estonia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Apr. 2005 |
EST
1 - 2
NOR
15%
25%
61%
|
67 | 92 | 25 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 2005 |
EST
1 - 1
RUS
15%
24%
61%
|
67 | 91 | 24 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 2005 |
EST
1 - 2
SVK
24%
28%
48%
|
67 | 85 | 18 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 2005 |
VEN
3 - 0
EST
71%
17%
12%
|
68 | 80 | 12 | -1 |
| 02 Dec. 2004 |
HUN
5 - 0
EST
80%
14%
7%
|
69 | 86 | 17 | -1 |
Matches
Liechtenstein
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Mar. 2005 |
LIE
1 - 2
RUS
8%
18%
75%
|
19 | 91 | 72 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 2004 |
LIE
1 - 3
LVA
6%
15%
79%
|
19 | 74 | 55 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 2004 |
LUX
0 - 4
LIE
82%
11%
7%
|
17 | 37 | 20 | +2 |
| 09 Oct. 2004 |
LIE
2 - 2
POR
5%
17%
77%
|
16 | 96 | 80 | +1 |
| 08 Sep. 2004 |
SVK
7 - 0
LIE
89%
9%
2%
|
17 | 84 | 67 | -1 |