Estonia vs Latvia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
56.1%
Win probability
2.05
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.7%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.5%
3-0
5.4%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
9.8%
2-0
7.8%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
17%
1-0
7.6%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
4.1%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.4%
21.2%
Draw
0-0
3.7%
1-1
9.5%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
21.2%
22.7%
Win probability
1.24
Expected goals
0-1
4.6%
1-2
5.9%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
13.6%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
6.2%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Estonia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Feb. 1993 |
FIN
4 - 3
EST
59%
21%
20%
|
68 | 70 | 2 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 1992 |
MLT
0 - 0
EST
36%
26%
38%
|
68 | 58 | 10 | 0 |
| 16 Aug. 1992 |
EST
0 - 6
SUI
17%
23%
61%
|
68 | 85 | 17 | 0 |
| 16 Jul. 1992 |
LTU
2 - 1
EST
57%
21%
22%
|
69 | 69 | 0 | -1 |
| 15 Jul. 1992 |
LVA
2 - 1
EST
55%
21%
24%
|
69 | 69 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Latvia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Feb. 1993 |
LVA
1 - 2
LTU
47%
23%
30%
|
69 | 73 | 4 | 0 |
| 16 Dec. 1992 |
ESP
5 - 0
LVA
93%
6%
1%
|
69 | 91 | 22 | 0 |
| 18 Nov. 1992 |
POL
1 - 0
LVA
88%
9%
3%
|
69 | 87 | 18 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 1992 |
ALB
1 - 1
LVA
42%
25%
33%
|
69 | 66 | 3 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 1992 |
LTU
1 - 1
LVA
61%
20%
19%
|
69 | 73 | 4 | 0 |