Estonia vs Italy analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
12.2%
Win probability
0.53
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
+4
<0%
3-0
0.3%
4-1
0.1%
+3
0.4%
2-0
1.7%
3-1
0.5%
4-2
<0%
+2
2.2%
1-0
6.5%
2-1
2.7%
3-2
0.4%
4-3
<0%
+1
9.6%
24.9%
Draw
0-0
12.4%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
2.1%
3-3
0.2%
0
24.9%
62.9%
Win probability
1.56
Expected goals
0-1
19.4%
1-2
7.9%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
28.5%
0-2
15.1%
1-3
4.1%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
19.7%
0-3
7.9%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
9.6%
0-4
3.1%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0%
-4
3.6%
0-5
1%
1-6
0.1%
-5
1.1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-17%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Estonia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Aug. 2010 |
EST
2 - 1
FRO
59%
23%
18%
|
70 | 54 | 16 | 0 |
| 20 Jun. 2010 |
LTU
2 - 0
EST
57%
23%
20%
|
71 | 79 | 8 | -1 |
| 19 Jun. 2010 |
EST
0 - 0
LVA
36%
28%
36%
|
71 | 75 | 4 | 0 |
| 26 May. 2010 |
EST
0 - 0
CRO
13%
23%
64%
|
70 | 93 | 23 | +1 |
| 21 May. 2010 |
EST
2 - 0
FIN
24%
28%
48%
|
69 | 84 | 15 | +1 |
Matches
Italy
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Aug. 2010 |
ITA
0 - 1
CIV
67%
21%
12%
|
95 | 86 | 9 | 0 |
| 24 Jun. 2010 |
SVK
3 - 2
ITA
11%
19%
70%
|
95 | 86 | 9 | 0 |
| 20 Jun. 2010 |
ITA
1 - 1
NZL
89%
9%
2%
|
96 | 71 | 25 | -1 |
| 14 Jun. 2010 |
ITA
1 - 1
PAR
74%
18%
8%
|
96 | 89 | 7 | 0 |
| 05 Jun. 2010 |
SUI
1 - 1
ITA
29%
28%
43%
|
96 | 90 | 6 | 0 |