Estonia vs Italy analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
5.7%
Win probability
0.3
Expected goals
3-0
0.1%
+3
0.1%
2-0
0.6%
3-1
0.1%
+2
0.7%
1-0
3.9%
2-1
1%
3-2
0.1%
+1
5%
20.5%
Draw
0-0
12.8%
1-1
6.8%
2-2
0.9%
3-3
0.1%
0
20.5%
73.8%
Win probability
1.75
Expected goals
0-1
22.5%
1-2
5.9%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0%
-1
28.9%
0-2
19.7%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
0.2%
-2
23.4%
0-3
11.5%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
13.1%
0-4
5.1%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0%
-4
5.6%
0-5
1.8%
1-6
0.2%
-5
1.9%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0%
-6
0.6%
0-7
0.1%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Estonia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Sep. 1994 |
EST
0 - 2
CRO
14%
22%
64%
|
58 | 81 | 23 | 0 |
| 16 Aug. 1994 |
ISL
4 - 0
EST
65%
21%
14%
|
58 | 70 | 12 | 0 |
| 30 Jul. 1994 |
LVA
2 - 0
EST
64%
21%
15%
|
59 | 69 | 10 | -1 |
| 29 Jul. 1994 |
LTU
3 - 0
EST
69%
19%
12%
|
60 | 70 | 10 | -1 |
| 01 Jun. 1994 |
MKD
2 - 0
EST
65%
20%
15%
|
61 | 69 | 8 | -1 |
Matches
Italy
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Sep. 1994 |
SVN
1 - 1
ITA
8%
22%
70%
|
96 | 73 | 23 | 0 |
| 17 Jul. 1994 |
BRA
0 - 0
ITA
63%
22%
15%
|
96 | 96 | 0 | 0 |
| 13 Jul. 1994 |
BGR
1 - 2
ITA
37%
29%
35%
|
95 | 86 | 9 | +1 |
| 09 Jul. 1994 |
ITA
2 - 1
ESP
52%
26%
22%
|
95 | 93 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 Jul. 1994 |
NGA
1 - 2
ITA
26%
30%
44%
|
95 | 80 | 15 | 0 |