Estonia vs Israel analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
18.7%
Win probability
0.8
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.8%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.1%
2-0
2.9%
3-1
1.2%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.4%
1-0
7.3%
2-1
4.7%
3-2
1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
13.1%
25.1%
Draw
0-0
9.1%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
25.1%
56.2%
Win probability
1.59
Expected goals
0-1
14.6%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
26%
0-2
11.6%
1-3
4.9%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
17.4%
0-3
6.2%
1-4
2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
8.4%
0-4
2.5%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.1%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Estonia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Aug. 2006 |
EST
0 - 1
MKD
35%
26%
39%
|
68 | 77 | 9 | 0 |
| 31 May. 2006 |
EST
1 - 1
NZL
41%
25%
33%
|
68 | 71 | 3 | 0 |
| 28 May. 2006 |
TUR
1 - 1
EST
78%
15%
7%
|
68 | 89 | 21 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2006 |
NIR
1 - 0
EST
68%
20%
12%
|
68 | 83 | 15 | 0 |
| 16 Nov. 2005 |
POL
3 - 1
EST
79%
15%
6%
|
68 | 91 | 23 | 0 |
Matches
Israel
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Aug. 2006 |
SVN
1 - 1
ISR
36%
26%
38%
|
87 | 83 | 4 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2006 |
ISR
0 - 2
DEN
27%
26%
47%
|
87 | 95 | 8 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2005 |
ISR
2 - 1
FRO
87%
10%
3%
|
87 | 56 | 31 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2005 |
FRO
0 - 2
ISR
15%
20%
65%
|
87 | 56 | 31 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2005 |
SUI
1 - 1
ISR
53%
24%
23%
|
87 | 90 | 3 | 0 |