Estonia vs Wales analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
9.7%
Win probability
0.46
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
+4
<0%
3-0
0.2%
4-1
<0%
+3
0.2%
2-0
1.3%
3-1
0.3%
4-2
<0%
+2
1.6%
1-0
5.5%
2-1
2.1%
3-2
0.3%
4-3
<0%
+1
7.8%
22.9%
Draw
0-0
11.9%
1-1
9.1%
2-2
1.7%
3-3
0.1%
0
22.9%
67.4%
Win probability
1.67
Expected goals
0-1
19.9%
1-2
7.6%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
28.5%
0-2
16.6%
1-3
4.2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
21.2%
0-3
9.2%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.1%
-3
11.1%
0-4
3.8%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0%
-4
4.5%
0-5
1.3%
1-6
0.2%
-5
1.4%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Estonia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 May. 1994 |
USA
4 - 0
EST
80%
14%
6%
|
62 | 78 | 16 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 1994 |
CYP
2 - 0
EST
45%
25%
30%
|
63 | 58 | 5 | -1 |
| 17 Nov. 1993 |
SUI
4 - 0
EST
91%
7%
2%
|
63 | 87 | 24 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 1993 |
POR
3 - 0
EST
88%
10%
3%
|
63 | 88 | 25 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 1993 |
LIE
0 - 2
EST
27%
24%
50%
|
63 | 11 | 52 | 0 |
Matches
Wales
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Apr. 1994 |
WAL
0 - 2
SWE
31%
29%
41%
|
86 | 91 | 5 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 1994 |
WAL
1 - 3
NOR
49%
27%
24%
|
86 | 85 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 1993 |
WAL
1 - 2
ROU
39%
28%
33%
|
86 | 88 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 1993 |
WAL
2 - 0
CYP
78%
15%
8%
|
86 | 58 | 28 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 1993 |
WAL
2 - 2
CSK
34%
31%
36%
|
86 | 91 | 5 | 0 |