Estonia vs Scotland analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
11.3%
Win probability
0.54
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
+4
<0%
3-0
0.3%
4-1
0.1%
+3
0.3%
2-0
1.6%
3-1
0.5%
4-2
0.1%
+2
2.1%
1-0
5.8%
2-1
2.6%
3-2
0.4%
4-3
<0%
+1
8.9%
23.1%
Draw
0-0
10.8%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
2.2%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
23.1%
65.6%
Win probability
1.69
Expected goals
0-1
18.2%
1-2
8.3%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
-1
27.9%
0-2
15.4%
1-3
4.7%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
20.6%
0-3
8.7%
1-4
2%
2-5
0.2%
-3
10.8%
0-4
3.7%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
-4
4.4%
0-5
1.2%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.4%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-16%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Estonia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Jan. 1997 |
LBN
2 - 0
EST
63%
21%
16%
|
56 | 64 | 8 | 0 |
| 16 Nov. 1996 |
IDN
0 - 3
EST
53%
22%
26%
|
55 | 53 | 2 | +1 |
| 13 Nov. 1996 |
AND
1 - 6
EST
71%
18%
11%
|
53 | 64 | 11 | +2 |
| 30 Oct. 1996 |
FIN
2 - 2
EST
78%
15%
7%
|
52 | 71 | 19 | +1 |
| 05 Oct. 1996 |
EST
1 - 0
BLR
23%
25%
52%
|
51 | 71 | 20 | +1 |
Matches
Scotland
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Nov. 1996 |
SCO
1 - 0
SWE
31%
29%
40%
|
89 | 92 | 3 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 1996 |
LVA
0 - 2
SCO
17%
25%
58%
|
89 | 69 | 20 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 1996 |
AUT
0 - 0
SCO
48%
26%
26%
|
89 | 87 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 Jun. 1996 |
SCO
1 - 0
SUI
44%
28%
28%
|
89 | 88 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 Jun. 1996 |
SCO
0 - 2
ENG
27%
28%
45%
|
89 | 95 | 6 | 0 |