Estonia vs Croatia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
13.6%
Win probability
0.69
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.4%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.6%
2-0
2%
3-1
0.8%
4-2
0.1%
5-3
<0%
+2
2.9%
1-0
5.7%
2-1
3.5%
3-2
0.7%
4-3
0.1%
+1
10%
22.2%
Draw
0-0
8.3%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
22.2%
64.1%
Win probability
1.8
Expected goals
0-1
15%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
26.3%
0-2
13.5%
1-3
5.6%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
20%
0-3
8.1%
1-4
2.5%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
10.9%
0-4
3.6%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.1%
-4
4.6%
0-5
1.3%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.6%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Estonia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Aug. 1994 |
ISL
4 - 0
EST
65%
21%
14%
|
60 | 71 | 11 | 0 |
| 30 Jul. 1994 |
LVA
2 - 0
EST
64%
21%
15%
|
60 | 70 | 10 | 0 |
| 29 Jul. 1994 |
LTU
3 - 0
EST
69%
19%
12%
|
61 | 71 | 10 | -1 |
| 01 Jun. 1994 |
MKD
2 - 0
EST
65%
20%
15%
|
62 | 70 | 8 | -1 |
| 23 May. 1994 |
EST
1 - 2
WAL
10%
23%
67%
|
62 | 86 | 24 | 0 |
Matches
Croatia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Aug. 1994 |
ISR
0 - 4
CRO
54%
22%
24%
|
81 | 79 | 2 | 0 |
| 04 Jun. 1994 |
CRO
0 - 0
ARG
17%
22%
60%
|
81 | 92 | 11 | 0 |
| 18 May. 1994 |
HUN
2 - 2
CRO
77%
15%
8%
|
80 | 87 | 7 | +1 |
| 20 Apr. 1994 |
SVK
4 - 1
CRO
38%
25%
37%
|
81 | 74 | 7 | -1 |
| 23 Mar. 1994 |
ESP
0 - 2
CRO
92%
7%
2%
|
80 | 93 | 13 | +1 |