Estonia vs Austria analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
11.2%
Win probability
0.66
Expected goals
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.3%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.5%
2-0
1.5%
3-1
0.7%
4-2
0.1%
+2
2.3%
1-0
4.6%
2-1
3%
3-2
0.7%
4-3
0.1%
+1
8.4%
19.7%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
9.2%
2-2
3.1%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
19.7%
69%
Win probability
2.01
Expected goals
0-1
13.9%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
25.5%
0-2
14%
1-3
6.2%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
21.3%
0-3
9.3%
1-4
3.1%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
12.9%
0-4
4.7%
1-5
1.2%
2-6
0.1%
-4
6.1%
0-5
1.9%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0%
-5
2.3%
0-6
0.6%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.7%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-16%
+15%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Estonia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Oct. 2023 |
EST
1 - 1
THA
30%
23%
47%
|
63 | 68 | 5 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 2023 |
EST
0 - 2
AZE
48%
25%
27%
|
64 | 62 | 2 | -1 |
| 12 Sep. 2023 |
BEL
5 - 0
EST
93%
6%
2%
|
64 | 93 | 29 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 2023 |
EST
0 - 5
SWE
12%
21%
67%
|
64 | 88 | 24 | 0 |
| 20 Jun. 2023 |
EST
0 - 3
BEL
4%
13%
84%
|
65 | 93 | 28 | -1 |
Matches
Austria
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Oct. 2023 |
AZE
0 - 1
AUT
9%
19%
72%
|
86 | 63 | 23 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 2023 |
AUT
2 - 3
BEL
15%
21%
64%
|
86 | 93 | 7 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 2023 |
SWE
1 - 3
AUT
51%
24%
25%
|
86 | 88 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2023 |
AUT
1 - 1
MDA
84%
12%
4%
|
86 | 50 | 36 | 0 |
| 20 Jun. 2023 |
AUT
2 - 0
SWE
37%
25%
38%
|
85 | 88 | 3 | +1 |