Estonia vs Andorra analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
67.2%
Win probability
2.15
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.6%
4-0
4.4%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.3%
3-0
8.3%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.8%
2-0
11.6%
3-1
7%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.4%
1-0
10.8%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24%
19.2%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
9.1%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.2%
13.6%
Win probability
0.84
Expected goals
0-1
4.2%
1-2
3.8%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
9.4%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.1%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Estonia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Jun. 2007 |
EST
0 - 3
ENG
10%
23%
68%
|
67 | 98 | 31 | 0 |
| 02 Jun. 2007 |
EST
0 - 1
CRO
12%
23%
65%
|
67 | 94 | 27 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 2007 |
ISR
4 - 0
EST
78%
15%
7%
|
67 | 88 | 21 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2007 |
EST
0 - 2
RUS
14%
24%
63%
|
68 | 91 | 23 | -1 |
| 07 Feb. 2007 |
SVN
1 - 0
EST
72%
17%
10%
|
68 | 83 | 15 | 0 |
Matches
Andorra
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Jun. 2007 |
AND
0 - 2
ISR
3%
13%
84%
|
52 | 88 | 36 | 0 |
| 02 Jun. 2007 |
RUS
4 - 0
AND
91%
8%
2%
|
52 | 91 | 39 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 2007 |
AND
0 - 3
ENG
5%
18%
77%
|
52 | 98 | 46 | 0 |
| 07 Feb. 2007 |
AND
0 - 0
ARM
26%
24%
50%
|
52 | 69 | 17 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 2006 |
AND
0 - 3
MKD
20%
24%
56%
|
52 | 77 | 25 | 0 |