Estonia vs Andorra analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
74.9%
Win probability
2.37
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.2%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.5%
5-0
2.9%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.8%
4-0
6.2%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.5%
3-0
10.4%
4-1
4.3%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
15.4%
2-0
13.2%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
22%
1-0
11.1%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23%
16.1%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
7.6%
2-2
3.1%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
16.1%
9%
Win probability
0.69
Expected goals
0-1
3.2%
1-2
2.6%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6.7%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.9%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Estonia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Apr. 2003 |
AND
0 - 2
EST
25%
23%
53%
|
71 | 55 | 16 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2003 |
EST
0 - 0
BGR
26%
26%
48%
|
70 | 89 | 19 | +1 |
| 29 Mar. 2003 |
EST
2 - 1
CAN
31%
27%
43%
|
70 | 82 | 12 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 2003 |
CHN
1 - 0
EST
77%
15%
8%
|
70 | 84 | 14 | 0 |
| 13 Feb. 2003 |
ECU
2 - 1
EST
69%
20%
11%
|
70 | 87 | 17 | 0 |
Matches
Andorra
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Apr. 2003 |
AND
0 - 2
EST
25%
23%
53%
|
55 | 71 | 16 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2003 |
CRO
2 - 0
AND
91%
8%
2%
|
56 | 91 | 35 | -1 |
| 16 Oct. 2002 |
BGR
2 - 1
AND
94%
5%
1%
|
56 | 89 | 33 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 2002 |
AND
0 - 1
BEL
8%
17%
75%
|
56 | 93 | 37 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 2002 |
ISL
3 - 0
AND
85%
11%
4%
|
56 | 80 | 24 | 0 |