Estonia vs Germany analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
24.5%
Win probability
1.33
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
0.1%
+4
0.7%
3-0
1.3%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.5%
2-0
3%
3-1
2.7%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
6.8%
1-0
4.5%
2-1
6.1%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
14.1%
21.2%
Draw
0-0
3.4%
1-1
9.2%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
21.2%
54.3%
Win probability
2.06
Expected goals
0-1
6.9%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
4.4%
3-4
1%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
21.9%
0-2
7.1%
1-3
6.5%
2-4
2.2%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0%
-2
16.4%
0-3
4.9%
1-4
3.4%
2-5
0.9%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
9.4%
0-4
2.5%
1-5
1.4%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
4.3%
0-5
1%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
1.6%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Estonia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Sep. 1938 |
EST
1 - 1
LVA
43%
22%
35%
|
56 | 65 | 9 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 1938 |
EST
3 - 1
LTU
68%
17%
15%
|
56 | 49 | 7 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 1938 |
EST
1 - 3
FIN
59%
20%
21%
|
57 | 56 | 1 | -1 |
| 20 Jul. 1938 |
EST
0 - 2
LVA
46%
22%
32%
|
58 | 64 | 6 | -1 |
| 11 Jun. 1938 |
LTU
0 - 2
EST
51%
22%
28%
|
57 | 50 | 7 | +1 |
Matches
Germany
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Jun. 1939 |
DEN
0 - 2
GER
54%
20%
26%
|
82 | 79 | 3 | 0 |
| 22 Jun. 1939 |
NOR
0 - 4
GER
47%
21%
32%
|
82 | 75 | 7 | 0 |
| 23 May. 1939 |
GER
1 - 1
IRL
75%
14%
11%
|
82 | 73 | 9 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 1939 |
ITA
3 - 2
GER
68%
16%
15%
|
83 | 88 | 5 | -1 |
| 26 Mar. 1939 |
LUX
2 - 1
GER
27%
21%
52%
|
83 | 55 | 28 | 0 |