Estonia vs Indonesia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
25.9%
Win probability
1.36
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
0.8%
3-0
1.4%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.7%
2-0
3.2%
3-1
2.9%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
7.3%
1-0
4.7%
2-1
6.4%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
14.8%
21.6%
Draw
0-0
3.5%
1-1
9.5%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
21.6%
52.5%
Win probability
2
Expected goals
0-1
7%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
4.3%
3-4
1%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
21.8%
0-2
7%
1-3
6.3%
2-4
2.1%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0%
-2
15.9%
0-3
4.7%
1-4
3.2%
2-5
0.9%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
8.8%
0-4
2.3%
1-5
1.3%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
3.9%
0-5
0.9%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.4%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Estonia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Nov. 1996 |
AND
1 - 6
EST
71%
18%
11%
|
54 | 65 | 11 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 1996 |
FIN
2 - 2
EST
78%
15%
7%
|
53 | 71 | 18 | +1 |
| 05 Oct. 1996 |
EST
1 - 0
BLR
23%
25%
52%
|
52 | 72 | 20 | +1 |
| 31 Aug. 1996 |
BLR
1 - 0
EST
77%
16%
7%
|
52 | 71 | 19 | 0 |
| 09 Jul. 1996 |
EST
1 - 1
LTU
20%
23%
57%
|
52 | 74 | 22 | 0 |
Matches
Indonesia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Nov. 1996 |
LTU
4 - 0
IDN
72%
18%
10%
|
55 | 74 | 19 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 1996 |
IDN
1 - 2
MDA
28%
25%
47%
|
55 | 70 | 15 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 1996 |
VIE
3 - 2
IDN
51%
24%
25%
|
56 | 57 | 1 | -1 |
| 13 Sep. 1996 |
MAS
3 - 1
IDN
59%
21%
20%
|
57 | 58 | 1 | -1 |
| 11 Sep. 1996 |
IDN
1 - 1
VIE
51%
24%
25%
|
57 | 58 | 1 | 0 |