Estonia vs Equatorial Guinea analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
59.4%
Win probability
1.93
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.6%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.5%
3-0
6.5%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.2%
2-0
10.1%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.2%
1-0
10.5%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.1%
21.8%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.8%
18.8%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
0-1
5.3%
1-2
5.1%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
12.3%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.8%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Estonia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 May. 2009 |
WAL
1 - 0
EST
66%
22%
12%
|
68 | 88 | 20 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 2009 |
EST
1 - 0
ARM
42%
27%
31%
|
68 | 71 | 3 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 2009 |
ARM
2 - 2
EST
49%
26%
25%
|
68 | 71 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2009 |
EST
0 - 2
KAZ
53%
25%
23%
|
69 | 65 | 4 | -1 |
| 22 Nov. 2008 |
EST
1 - 1
LTU
31%
27%
42%
|
68 | 78 | 10 | +1 |
Matches
Equatorial Guinea
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Apr. 2009 |
MLI
3 - 0
EQG
76%
16%
8%
|
57 | 80 | 23 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 2009 |
CPV
5 - 0
EQG
52%
23%
25%
|
59 | 63 | 4 | -2 |
| 25 Oct. 2008 |
LAO
2 - 1
EQG
27%
22%
50%
|
59 | 38 | 21 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2008 |
EQG
1 - 4
BRN
68%
20%
12%
|
60 | 37 | 23 | -1 |
| 19 Oct. 2008 |
KHM
2 - 2
EQG
23%
22%
55%
|
60 | 32 | 28 | 0 |