Estonia vs Azerbaijan analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
47.8%
Win probability
1.6
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.5%
3-0
4.4%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.8%
2-0
8.2%
3-1
5%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.5%
1-0
10.2%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23%
24.8%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.8%
27.4%
Win probability
1.15
Expected goals
0-1
7.3%
1-2
6.8%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
16.5%
0-2
4.2%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.5%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-16%
+55%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Estonia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Sep. 2023 |
BEL
5 - 0
EST
93%
6%
2%
|
64 | 93 | 29 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 2023 |
EST
0 - 5
SWE
12%
21%
67%
|
64 | 88 | 24 | 0 |
| 20 Jun. 2023 |
EST
0 - 3
BEL
4%
13%
84%
|
65 | 93 | 28 | -1 |
| 17 Jun. 2023 |
AZE
1 - 1
EST
37%
28%
36%
|
65 | 61 | 4 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 2023 |
AUT
2 - 1
EST
81%
14%
6%
|
65 | 85 | 20 | 0 |
Matches
Azerbaijan
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Sep. 2023 |
AZE
2 - 1
JOR
20%
25%
55%
|
61 | 76 | 15 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 2023 |
AZE
0 - 1
BEL
3%
12%
85%
|
61 | 93 | 32 | 0 |
| 17 Jun. 2023 |
AZE
1 - 1
EST
37%
28%
36%
|
61 | 65 | 4 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 2023 |
SWE
5 - 0
AZE
80%
15%
5%
|
62 | 88 | 26 | -1 |
| 24 Mar. 2023 |
AUT
4 - 1
AZE
80%
14%
7%
|
62 | 85 | 23 | 0 |