USA vs El Salvador analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
83.2%
Win probability
2.67
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.8%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.9%
6-0
2.1%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
2.6%
5-0
4.7%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.1%
+5
5.9%
4-0
8.9%
5-1
2.4%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
11.6%
3-0
13.3%
4-1
4.4%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
<0%
+3
18.4%
2-0
15%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.8%
1-0
11.2%
2-1
7.5%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.6%
12%
Draw
0-0
4.2%
1-1
5.6%
2-2
1.9%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
12%
4.8%
Win probability
0.5
Expected goals
0-1
2.1%
1-2
1.4%
2-3
0.3%
3-4
0%
-1
3.8%
0-2
0.5%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0%
-2
0.8%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
USA
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Nov. 2020 |
USA
6 - 2
PAN
79%
15%
7%
|
89 | 79 | 10 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 2020 |
WAL
0 - 0
USA
27%
26%
47%
|
89 | 85 | 4 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 2020 |
USA
1 - 0
CRC
63%
21%
16%
|
89 | 85 | 4 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 2019 |
CUB
0 - 4
USA
10%
22%
68%
|
89 | 57 | 32 | 0 |
| 16 Nov. 2019 |
USA
4 - 1
CAN
74%
17%
9%
|
89 | 79 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
El Salvador
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Jan. 2020 |
SLV
0 - 1
ISL
28%
25%
47%
|
71 | 81 | 10 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 2019 |
SLV
2 - 0
DOM
67%
19%
13%
|
70 | 56 | 14 | +1 |
| 17 Nov. 2019 |
SLV
1 - 0
MSR
89%
9%
2%
|
70 | 27 | 43 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2019 |
LCA
0 - 2
SLV
9%
18%
73%
|
70 | 42 | 28 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 2019 |
MSR
0 - 2
SLV
4%
10%
87%
|
70 | 26 | 44 | 0 |