USA vs Uruguay analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
30.1%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.8%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.3%
2-0
5.6%
3-1
2%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
7.9%
1-0
11.7%
2-1
6.3%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
19.3%
29.9%
Draw
0-0
12.4%
1-1
13.4%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
29.9%
40%
Win probability
1.14
Expected goals
0-1
14.1%
1-2
7.6%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.1%
-1
23.3%
0-2
8.1%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
11.4%
0-3
3.1%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
-3
4%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
USA
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Mar. 1991 |
USA
2 - 0
CAN
58%
22%
21%
|
72 | 73 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 1991 |
USA
2 - 2
MEX
25%
30%
46%
|
71 | 90 | 19 | +1 |
| 21 Feb. 1991 |
BMU
1 - 0
USA
26%
27%
48%
|
72 | 53 | 19 | -1 |
| 01 Feb. 1991 |
USA
0 - 1
SUI
35%
26%
39%
|
73 | 83 | 10 | -1 |
| 19 Dec. 1990 |
POR
1 - 0
USA
68%
22%
10%
|
73 | 87 | 14 | 0 |
Matches
Uruguay
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Jun. 1990 |
ITA
2 - 0
URU
65%
22%
13%
|
88 | 94 | 6 | 0 |
| 21 Jun. 1990 |
KOR
0 - 1
URU
44%
29%
27%
|
88 | 84 | 4 | 0 |
| 17 Jun. 1990 |
BEL
3 - 1
URU
58%
24%
18%
|
89 | 89 | 0 | -1 |
| 13 Jun. 1990 |
URU
0 - 0
ESP
44%
28%
29%
|
89 | 92 | 3 | 0 |
| 22 May. 1990 |
ENG
1 - 2
URU
69%
21%
10%
|
88 | 94 | 6 | +1 |