USA vs Uruguay analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
28.7%
Win probability
1.14
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
1.7%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.6%
2-0
4.6%
3-1
2.6%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
7.9%
1-0
8.1%
2-1
6.9%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.3%
25.6%
Draw
0-0
7.1%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.6%
45.7%
Win probability
1.51
Expected goals
0-1
10.7%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
22.9%
0-2
8.1%
1-3
4.6%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
13.8%
0-3
4%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
6.1%
0-4
1.5%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.1%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
USA
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Feb. 1986 |
CAN
0 - 0
USA
63%
19%
18%
|
66 | 68 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 Jun. 1985 |
USA
0 - 5
ENG
18%
26%
56%
|
66 | 92 | 26 | 0 |
| 04 Apr. 1985 |
USA
1 - 1
CAN
63%
19%
19%
|
66 | 67 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 1985 |
CAN
2 - 0
USA
59%
20%
22%
|
67 | 66 | 1 | -1 |
| 08 Feb. 1985 |
USA
1 - 1
SUI
37%
24%
39%
|
67 | 79 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
Uruguay
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Feb. 1986 |
URU
3 - 1
CAN
75%
17%
8%
|
86 | 68 | 18 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 1985 |
CHI
1 - 0
URU
47%
27%
25%
|
87 | 83 | 4 | -1 |
| 21 Aug. 1985 |
FRA
2 - 0
URU
64%
22%
14%
|
87 | 91 | 4 | 0 |
| 26 May. 1985 |
JPN
1 - 4
URU
29%
30%
41%
|
87 | 70 | 17 | 0 |
| 02 May. 1985 |
BRA
2 - 0
URU
79%
15%
6%
|
87 | 95 | 8 | 0 |