USA vs USSR analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
16.2%
Win probability
0.59
Expected goals
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.5%
4-1
0.1%
+3
0.6%
2-0
2.5%
3-1
0.7%
4-2
0.1%
+2
3.2%
1-0
8.4%
2-1
3.4%
3-2
0.5%
4-3
<0%
+1
12.3%
28.1%
Draw
0-0
14.1%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
2.3%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
28.1%
55.7%
Win probability
1.36
Expected goals
0-1
19.3%
1-2
7.8%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
28.2%
0-2
13.1%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
17.1%
0-3
6%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.1%
-3
7.3%
0-4
2%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
2.4%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
USA
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Feb. 1990 |
BMU
0 - 1
USA
28%
27%
45%
|
70 | 53 | 17 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 1990 |
USA
1 - 1
COL
37%
27%
36%
|
69 | 83 | 14 | +1 |
| 02 Feb. 1990 |
USA
0 - 2
CRC
33%
25%
42%
|
70 | 82 | 12 | -1 |
| 19 Nov. 1989 |
TTO
0 - 1
USA
49%
23%
28%
|
69 | 64 | 5 | +1 |
| 14 Nov. 1989 |
USA
2 - 1
BMU
76%
16%
8%
|
69 | 53 | 16 | 0 |
Matches
USSR
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Feb. 1990 |
CRC
1 - 2
SUN
23%
30%
47%
|
93 | 82 | 11 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 1990 |
COL
0 - 0
SUN
21%
29%
49%
|
94 | 83 | 11 | -1 |
| 15 Nov. 1989 |
SUN
2 - 0
TUR
81%
14%
5%
|
94 | 75 | 19 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 1989 |
DDR
2 - 1
SUN
34%
29%
37%
|
94 | 88 | 6 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 1989 |
AUT
0 - 0
SUN
31%
29%
40%
|
94 | 87 | 7 | 0 |