USA vs USSR analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
22.3%
Win probability
0.78
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
1%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.3%
2-0
3.8%
3-1
1.3%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.2%
1-0
9.6%
2-1
4.9%
3-2
0.8%
4-3
0.1%
+1
15.5%
28.6%
Draw
0-0
12.3%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
28.6%
49.1%
Win probability
1.31
Expected goals
0-1
16.2%
1-2
8.3%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.1%
-1
26%
0-2
10.6%
1-3
3.6%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
14.7%
0-3
4.6%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.1%
-3
5.9%
0-4
1.5%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.9%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
USA
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Sep. 1988 |
KOR
0 - 0
USA
70%
20%
10%
|
66 | 83 | 17 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 1988 |
USA
1 - 1
ARG
23%
26%
51%
|
65 | 89 | 24 | +1 |
| 13 Jul. 1988 |
USA
0 - 2
POL
20%
23%
57%
|
66 | 86 | 20 | -1 |
| 14 Jun. 1988 |
USA
1 - 0
CRC
26%
24%
50%
|
65 | 83 | 18 | +1 |
| 12 Jun. 1988 |
USA
0 - 0
ECU
60%
21%
19%
|
65 | 68 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
USSR
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Sep. 1988 |
BRD
1 - 0
SUN
60%
23%
18%
|
93 | 94 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 1988 |
ARG
1 - 2
SUN
40%
29%
31%
|
93 | 89 | 4 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 1988 |
KOR
0 - 0
SUN
27%
30%
43%
|
93 | 83 | 10 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 1988 |
ISL
1 - 1
SUN
17%
28%
55%
|
93 | 62 | 31 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 1988 |
FIN
0 - 0
SUN
18%
27%
55%
|
93 | 66 | 27 | 0 |