USA vs Ukraine analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
60%
Win probability
2.06
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.9%
4-0
3.3%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5%
3-0
6.3%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.7%
2-0
9.3%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.2%
1-0
9%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.3%
20.9%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
20.9%
19.1%
Win probability
1.07
Expected goals
0-1
4.7%
1-2
5.2%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
12.2%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
USA
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Oct. 1993 |
USA
1 - 2
UKR
63%
20%
17%
|
79 | 76 | 3 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 1993 |
USA
1 - 1
MEX
27%
30%
42%
|
79 | 90 | 11 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 1993 |
NOR
1 - 0
USA
63%
23%
15%
|
79 | 84 | 5 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 1993 |
ISL
0 - 1
USA
36%
26%
39%
|
79 | 70 | 9 | 0 |
| 25 Jul. 1993 |
MEX
4 - 0
USA
71%
19%
10%
|
79 | 90 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Ukraine
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Oct. 1993 |
MEX
2 - 1
UKR
87%
10%
4%
|
76 | 90 | 14 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 1993 |
USA
1 - 2
UKR
63%
20%
17%
|
76 | 79 | 3 | 0 |
| 25 Jun. 1993 |
CRO
3 - 1
UKR
64%
19%
17%
|
76 | 79 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 May. 1993 |
LTU
0 - 1
UKR
51%
23%
27%
|
76 | 73 | 3 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 1993 |
UKR
1 - 1
ISR
53%
22%
24%
|
76 | 78 | 2 | 0 |