USA vs Ukraine analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
62.8%
Win probability
2.14
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.2%
4-0
3.7%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.6%
3-0
6.9%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.6%
2-0
9.6%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.9%
1-0
9%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.3%
20%
Draw
0-0
4.2%
1-1
9.2%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
20%
17.3%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
0-1
4.3%
1-2
4.8%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
11.2%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.4%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
USA
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Oct. 1993 |
USA
1 - 1
MEX
27%
30%
42%
|
79 | 90 | 11 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 1993 |
NOR
1 - 0
USA
63%
23%
15%
|
79 | 84 | 5 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 1993 |
ISL
0 - 1
USA
36%
26%
39%
|
79 | 70 | 9 | 0 |
| 25 Jul. 1993 |
MEX
4 - 0
USA
71%
19%
10%
|
79 | 90 | 11 | 0 |
| 21 Jul. 1993 |
USA
1 - 0
CRC
47%
27%
26%
|
79 | 82 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Ukraine
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Jun. 1993 |
CRO
3 - 1
UKR
64%
19%
17%
|
76 | 79 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 May. 1993 |
LTU
0 - 1
UKR
51%
23%
27%
|
76 | 73 | 3 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 1993 |
UKR
1 - 1
ISR
53%
22%
24%
|
76 | 78 | 2 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 1992 |
BLR
1 - 1
UKR
47%
23%
31%
|
75 | 70 | 5 | +1 |
| 26 Aug. 1992 |
HUN
2 - 1
UKR
86%
10%
4%
|
76 | 88 | 12 | -1 |