USA vs Sweden analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
23.9%
Win probability
0.85
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.3%
3-0
1.2%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.5%
2-0
4.1%
3-1
1.6%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.9%
1-0
9.5%
2-1
5.5%
3-2
1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
16.1%
28.1%
Draw
0-0
11.2%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
28.1%
48%
Win probability
1.34
Expected goals
0-1
14.9%
1-2
8.5%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
-1
25.3%
0-2
10%
1-3
3.8%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
14.4%
0-3
4.5%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
5.9%
0-4
1.5%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.9%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
USA
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Feb. 1994 |
USA
1 - 1
BOL
59%
21%
20%
|
79 | 75 | 4 | 0 |
| 13 Feb. 1994 |
USA
1 - 2
ROU
29%
28%
43%
|
79 | 88 | 9 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 1994 |
USA
0 - 0
DEN
87%
10%
3%
|
79 | 8 | 71 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 1994 |
USA
1 - 1
RUS
49%
23%
28%
|
79 | 82 | 3 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 1994 |
USA
1 - 1
SUI
34%
28%
38%
|
79 | 87 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Sweden
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Feb. 1994 |
COL
0 - 0
SWE
35%
29%
36%
|
91 | 87 | 4 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 1993 |
AUT
1 - 1
SWE
37%
28%
35%
|
91 | 86 | 5 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 1993 |
SWE
3 - 2
FIN
80%
14%
6%
|
91 | 72 | 19 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 1993 |
BGR
1 - 1
SWE
34%
28%
38%
|
91 | 85 | 6 | 0 |
| 22 Aug. 1993 |
SWE
1 - 1
FRA
43%
27%
30%
|
91 | 94 | 3 | 0 |