USA vs South Africa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
79.5%
Win probability
2.63
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.8%
6-0
1.7%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
2.2%
5-0
3.9%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
5.2%
4-0
7.5%
5-1
2.6%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
10.4%
3-0
11.3%
4-1
4.9%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
17.2%
2-0
12.9%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
22.2%
1-0
9.8%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.1%
13.6%
Draw
0-0
3.7%
1-1
6.4%
2-2
2.8%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
0.1%
0
13.6%
7%
Win probability
0.66
Expected goals
0-1
2.4%
1-2
2.1%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
5.3%
0-2
0.8%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.4%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
USA
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Apr. 2000 |
RUS
2 - 0
USA
62%
21%
17%
|
89 | 89 | 0 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2000 |
USA
1 - 1
TUN
70%
20%
11%
|
89 | 82 | 7 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 2000 |
USA
2 - 2
COL
44%
26%
31%
|
89 | 90 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 2000 |
USA
1 - 0
PER
65%
20%
15%
|
88 | 85 | 3 | +1 |
| 12 Feb. 2000 |
USA
3 - 0
HTI
79%
14%
7%
|
88 | 74 | 14 | 0 |
Matches
South Africa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 May. 2000 |
MLT
0 - 1
RSA
12%
22%
67%
|
82 | 56 | 26 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 2000 |
RSA
3 - 0
MUS
88%
10%
2%
|
82 | 47 | 35 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2000 |
RSA
2 - 2
TUN
46%
27%
27%
|
81 | 82 | 1 | +1 |
| 10 Feb. 2000 |
NGA
2 - 0
RSA
49%
25%
26%
|
82 | 84 | 2 | -1 |
| 06 Feb. 2000 |
GHA
0 - 1
RSA
34%
27%
39%
|
82 | 79 | 3 | 0 |