USA vs Russia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
49.3%
Win probability
1.79
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.1%
3-0
4.4%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.6%
2-0
7.4%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15%
1-0
8.3%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.2%
23.2%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.2%
27.5%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
0-1
6%
1-2
6.8%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
15.9%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
7.7%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.8%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
USA
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Jan. 1994 |
USA
1 - 1
SUI
34%
28%
38%
|
79 | 87 | 8 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 1994 |
USA
2 - 1
NOR
39%
28%
33%
|
79 | 85 | 6 | 0 |
| 18 Dec. 1993 |
USA
0 - 3
GER
30%
26%
44%
|
79 | 88 | 9 | 0 |
| 05 Dec. 1993 |
USA
7 - 0
SLV
72%
18%
10%
|
79 | 68 | 11 | 0 |
| 14 Nov. 1993 |
USA
8 - 1
CYM
91%
8%
1%
|
79 | 41 | 38 | 0 |
Matches
Russia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Nov. 1993 |
GRC
1 - 0
RUS
57%
21%
21%
|
82 | 80 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 1993 |
KSA
4 - 2
RUS
49%
24%
27%
|
82 | 79 | 3 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 1993 |
HUN
1 - 3
RUS
78%
14%
8%
|
82 | 87 | 5 | 0 |
| 28 Jul. 1993 |
FRA
3 - 1
RUS
89%
8%
3%
|
82 | 94 | 12 | 0 |
| 02 Jun. 1993 |
ISL
1 - 1
RUS
22%
25%
53%
|
82 | 68 | 14 | 0 |