USA vs Ireland analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
35.1%
Win probability
1.01
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.7%
3-0
2.3%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
+3
3%
2-0
6.9%
3-1
2.3%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
9.5%
1-0
13.7%
2-1
6.8%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
21.7%
30.9%
Draw
0-0
13.6%
1-1
13.5%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
30.9%
34%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
0-1
13.4%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
21.3%
0-2
6.6%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
9.1%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.8%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
USA
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 May. 1991 |
USA
0 - 1
ARG
24%
27%
49%
|
74 | 90 | 16 | 0 |
| 05 May. 1991 |
USA
1 - 0
URU
30%
30%
40%
|
73 | 89 | 16 | +1 |
| 16 Mar. 1991 |
USA
2 - 0
CAN
58%
22%
21%
|
72 | 73 | 1 | +1 |
| 12 Mar. 1991 |
USA
2 - 2
MEX
25%
30%
46%
|
71 | 90 | 19 | +1 |
| 21 Feb. 1991 |
BMU
1 - 0
USA
26%
27%
48%
|
72 | 53 | 19 | -1 |
Matches
Ireland
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 May. 1991 |
IRL
1 - 1
CHI
57%
26%
17%
|
87 | 86 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 May. 1991 |
IRL
0 - 0
POL
47%
27%
26%
|
87 | 87 | 0 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 1991 |
ENG
1 - 1
IRL
73%
19%
8%
|
87 | 94 | 7 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 1991 |
WAL
0 - 3
IRL
48%
30%
23%
|
87 | 85 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 Nov. 1990 |
IRL
1 - 1
ENG
30%
29%
40%
|
86 | 94 | 8 | +1 |