United States vs East Germany analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
26.8%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.5%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2%
2-0
4.6%
3-1
2%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
6.9%
1-0
9.7%
2-1
6.2%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.1%
+1
17.3%
27.9%
Draw
0-0
10.2%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
27.8%
45.3%
Win probability
1.33
Expected goals
0-1
13.6%
1-2
8.6%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
24.2%
0-2
9%
1-3
3.8%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
13.5%
0-3
4%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
5.4%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.7%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
United States
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Jun. 1990 |
AUT
2 - 1
USA
74%
18%
9%
|
71 | 88 | 17 | 0 |
| 14 Jun. 1990 |
ITA
1 - 0
USA
76%
17%
7%
|
71 | 93 | 22 | 0 |
| 10 Jun. 1990 |
USA
1 - 5
CSK
35%
29%
36%
|
72 | 90 | 18 | -1 |
| 02 Jun. 1990 |
SUI
2 - 1
USA
68%
19%
13%
|
72 | 82 | 10 | 0 |
| 30 May. 1990 |
LIE
1 - 4
USA
12%
23%
66%
|
72 | 11 | 61 | 0 |
Matches
East Germany
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 May. 1990 |
BRA
3 - 3
DDR
73%
18%
9%
|
89 | 96 | 7 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 1990 |
SCO
0 - 1
DDR
49%
27%
25%
|
88 | 89 | 1 | +1 |
| 11 Apr. 1990 |
DDR
2 - 0
EGY
75%
17%
8%
|
88 | 79 | 9 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 1990 |
DDR
3 - 2
USA
81%
14%
5%
|
88 | 70 | 18 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 1990 |
KWT
1 - 2
DDR
23%
29%
48%
|
88 | 75 | 13 | 0 |