USA vs Portugal analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
20%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.9%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.4%
2-0
3%
3-1
1.6%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
5%
1-0
6.5%
2-1
5.2%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
13.3%
23.6%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.6%
56.4%
Win probability
1.73
Expected goals
0-1
12.1%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
24.9%
0-2
10.5%
1-3
5.6%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
17.4%
0-3
6.1%
1-4
2.4%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
8.9%
0-4
2.6%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.6%
0-5
0.9%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.2%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
USA
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 May. 2002 |
USA
0 - 2
NED
21%
23%
56%
|
91 | 98 | 7 | 0 |
| 16 May. 2002 |
USA
5 - 0
JAM
72%
19%
9%
|
90 | 78 | 12 | +1 |
| 12 May. 2002 |
USA
2 - 1
URU
46%
26%
28%
|
90 | 91 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2002 |
IRL
2 - 1
USA
56%
25%
19%
|
90 | 93 | 3 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 2002 |
USA
1 - 0
MEX
46%
26%
28%
|
90 | 91 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Portugal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 May. 2002 |
CHN
0 - 2
POR
25%
25%
50%
|
95 | 85 | 10 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2002 |
POR
1 - 1
BRA
30%
25%
46%
|
95 | 99 | 4 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 2002 |
POR
1 - 4
FIN
80%
15%
5%
|
96 | 83 | 13 | -1 |
| 13 Feb. 2002 |
ESP
1 - 1
POR
62%
21%
17%
|
96 | 99 | 3 | 0 |
| 14 Nov. 2001 |
POR
5 - 1
ANG
92%
7%
1%
|
96 | 75 | 21 | 0 |