USA vs Poland analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
27.8%
Win probability
1.11
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.6%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.5%
2-0
4.5%
3-1
2.5%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
7.5%
1-0
8.1%
2-1
6.8%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
17%
25.7%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.7%
46.5%
Win probability
1.51
Expected goals
0-1
11%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
23.2%
0-2
8.3%
1-3
4.6%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
14%
0-3
4.2%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
6.3%
0-4
1.6%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.2%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
USA
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Mar. 1975 |
POL
7 - 0
USA
83%
12%
5%
|
60 | 86 | 26 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 1974 |
USA
0 - 1
MEX
24%
22%
54%
|
60 | 81 | 21 | 0 |
| 05 Sep. 1974 |
MEX
3 - 1
USA
80%
13%
8%
|
61 | 81 | 20 | -1 |
| 15 Nov. 1973 |
ISR
2 - 0
USA
69%
17%
15%
|
61 | 74 | 13 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 1973 |
ISR
3 - 1
USA
67%
17%
16%
|
62 | 73 | 11 | -1 |
Matches
Poland
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 May. 1975 |
DDR
1 - 2
POL
53%
25%
23%
|
86 | 86 | 0 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 1975 |
ITA
0 - 0
POL
68%
20%
12%
|
86 | 90 | 4 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 1975 |
POL
7 - 0
USA
83%
12%
5%
|
86 | 60 | 26 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 1974 |
CSK
2 - 2
POL
61%
22%
18%
|
86 | 86 | 0 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 1974 |
POL
2 - 0
CAN
82%
13%
6%
|
86 | 65 | 21 | 0 |