USA vs Poland analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
30.1%
Win probability
1.23
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
1.9%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3%
2-0
4.6%
3-1
3%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
8.4%
1-0
7.5%
2-1
7.2%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.5%
24.9%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
24.9%
45%
Win probability
1.56
Expected goals
0-1
9.6%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
22.2%
0-2
7.5%
1-3
4.8%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
13.6%
0-3
3.9%
1-4
1.9%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
6.2%
0-4
1.5%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.2%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
USA
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Aug. 1973 |
USA
0 - 4
POL
31%
25%
44%
|
63 | 85 | 22 | 0 |
| 05 Aug. 1973 |
CAN
0 - 2
USA
60%
18%
22%
|
61 | 67 | 6 | +2 |
| 03 Aug. 1973 |
USA
0 - 1
POL
31%
25%
44%
|
62 | 84 | 22 | -1 |
| 20 Mar. 1973 |
POL
4 - 0
USA
80%
13%
7%
|
62 | 83 | 21 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 1973 |
BMU
4 - 0
USA
18%
21%
61%
|
63 | 38 | 25 | -1 |
Matches
Poland
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Aug. 1973 |
USA
0 - 4
POL
31%
25%
44%
|
85 | 63 | 22 | 0 |
| 08 Aug. 1973 |
MEX
1 - 2
POL
44%
27%
29%
|
84 | 81 | 3 | +1 |
| 05 Aug. 1973 |
MEX
0 - 1
POL
45%
26%
28%
|
84 | 82 | 2 | 0 |
| 03 Aug. 1973 |
USA
0 - 1
POL
31%
25%
44%
|
84 | 62 | 22 | 0 |
| 01 Aug. 1973 |
CAN
1 - 3
POL
32%
26%
43%
|
84 | 67 | 17 | 0 |