USA vs Poland analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
31%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
2%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.2%
2-0
4.7%
3-1
3.1%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
8.8%
1-0
7.5%
2-1
7.4%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.8%
24.8%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.8%
44.2%
Win probability
1.56
Expected goals
0-1
9.2%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
21.9%
0-2
7.2%
1-3
4.8%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
13.3%
0-3
3.7%
1-4
1.9%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
6%
0-4
1.5%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.1%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
USA
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Mar. 1973 |
POL
4 - 0
USA
80%
13%
7%
|
62 | 83 | 21 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 1973 |
BMU
4 - 0
USA
18%
21%
61%
|
63 | 38 | 25 | -1 |
| 31 Aug. 1972 |
BRD
7 - 0
USA
84%
10%
7%
|
63 | 91 | 28 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 1972 |
MAS
3 - 0
USA
52%
21%
27%
|
65 | 58 | 7 | -2 |
| 27 Aug. 1972 |
MAR
0 - 0
USA
67%
17%
17%
|
65 | 72 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Poland
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Aug. 1973 |
CAN
1 - 3
POL
32%
26%
43%
|
84 | 67 | 17 | 0 |
| 06 Jun. 1973 |
POL
2 - 0
ENG
32%
26%
43%
|
83 | 92 | 9 | +1 |
| 16 May. 1973 |
POL
2 - 0
IRL
75%
15%
10%
|
83 | 71 | 12 | 0 |
| 13 May. 1973 |
POL
2 - 2
YUG
48%
24%
28%
|
83 | 87 | 4 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 1973 |
WAL
2 - 0
POL
28%
25%
47%
|
84 | 73 | 11 | -1 |