USA vs Peru analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
64.8%
Win probability
2.03
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.1%
4-0
4%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.5%
3-0
7.8%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.8%
2-0
11.6%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.8%
1-0
11.4%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.5%
20.4%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.4%
14.8%
Win probability
0.85
Expected goals
0-1
4.8%
1-2
4.1%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10.2%
0-2
2%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.5%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-7%
-8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
USA
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Feb. 2000 |
USA
3 - 0
HTI
79%
14%
7%
|
88 | 74 | 14 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2000 |
CHI
1 - 2
USA
62%
22%
16%
|
88 | 90 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 Jan. 2000 |
USA
1 - 1
IRN
57%
23%
20%
|
88 | 85 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 1999 |
MAR
2 - 1
USA
44%
28%
28%
|
88 | 87 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 1999 |
JAM
2 - 2
USA
24%
29%
46%
|
88 | 78 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Peru
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Feb. 2000 |
HTI
1 - 1
PER
22%
27%
51%
|
85 | 73 | 12 | 0 |
| 01 Dec. 1999 |
PER
0 - 0
HND
50%
25%
25%
|
85 | 83 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 1999 |
PER
2 - 1
SVK
66%
20%
15%
|
84 | 83 | 1 | +1 |
| 10 Jul. 1999 |
PER
3 - 3
MEX
22%
25%
54%
|
84 | 91 | 7 | 0 |
| 05 Jul. 1999 |
PAR
1 - 0
PER
63%
21%
15%
|
84 | 89 | 5 | 0 |