USA vs Peru analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
33%
Win probability
1.3
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2.2%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.6%
2-0
5.2%
3-1
3.4%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.4%
1-0
7.9%
2-1
7.7%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.6%
25.1%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
25.1%
41.8%
Win probability
1.5
Expected goals
0-1
9.1%
1-2
8.9%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
21.4%
0-2
6.8%
1-3
4.4%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
12.5%
0-3
3.4%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
5.4%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.9%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
USA
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 May. 1989 |
USA
1 - 1
TTO
69%
19%
12%
|
68 | 60 | 8 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 1989 |
USA
1 - 0
CRC
30%
25%
45%
|
67 | 83 | 16 | +1 |
| 16 Apr. 1989 |
CRC
1 - 0
USA
76%
15%
9%
|
67 | 83 | 16 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 1988 |
USA
2 - 4
SUN
22%
29%
49%
|
67 | 93 | 26 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 1988 |
KOR
0 - 0
USA
70%
20%
10%
|
67 | 84 | 17 | 0 |
Matches
Peru
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 May. 1989 |
PER
1 - 1
BRA
15%
26%
59%
|
80 | 96 | 16 | 0 |
| 18 May. 1989 |
PER
2 - 1
VEN
77%
15%
8%
|
79 | 61 | 18 | +1 |
| 15 May. 1989 |
PAR
1 - 1
PER
63%
23%
14%
|
79 | 86 | 7 | 0 |
| 10 May. 1989 |
BRA
4 - 1
PER
85%
11%
4%
|
79 | 96 | 17 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 1989 |
COL
1 - 0
PER
57%
23%
20%
|
80 | 81 | 1 | -1 |