USA vs Paraguay analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
61.4%
Win probability
1.94
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.8%
4-0
3.4%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.8%
3-0
7%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.7%
2-0
10.9%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.9%
1-0
11.3%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.5%
21.5%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.5%
17.1%
Win probability
0.91
Expected goals
0-1
5.3%
1-2
4.6%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.5%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.2%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
USA
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Jun. 2007 |
ARG
4 - 1
USA
66%
20%
14%
|
94 | 98 | 4 | 0 |
| 24 Jun. 2007 |
USA
2 - 1
MEX
48%
24%
28%
|
94 | 93 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Jun. 2007 |
CAN
1 - 2
USA
9%
19%
73%
|
93 | 82 | 11 | +1 |
| 16 Jun. 2007 |
USA
2 - 1
PAN
88%
10%
3%
|
93 | 76 | 17 | 0 |
| 13 Jun. 2007 |
USA
4 - 0
SLV
91%
8%
1%
|
93 | 67 | 26 | 0 |
Matches
Paraguay
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Jun. 2007 |
PAR
5 - 0
COL
41%
26%
34%
|
90 | 92 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 Jun. 2007 |
BOL
0 - 0
PAR
32%
28%
41%
|
90 | 83 | 7 | 0 |
| 06 Jun. 2007 |
MEX
0 - 1
PAR
64%
21%
15%
|
90 | 93 | 3 | 0 |
| 02 Jun. 2007 |
AUT
0 - 0
PAR
45%
26%
29%
|
90 | 88 | 2 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 2007 |
COL
2 - 0
PAR
51%
26%
23%
|
90 | 91 | 1 | 0 |