USA vs Paraguay analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
40.2%
Win probability
1.3
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.4%
3-0
3.2%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.6%
2-0
7.4%
3-1
3.6%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.7%
1-0
11.3%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.1%
27.3%
Draw
0-0
8.7%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.3%
32.5%
Win probability
1.14
Expected goals
0-1
10%
1-2
7.4%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
19.4%
0-2
5.7%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
-3
3.1%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
USA
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Apr. 1997 |
USA
2 - 2
MEX
34%
28%
38%
|
83 | 90 | 7 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 1997 |
CRC
3 - 2
USA
45%
28%
27%
|
83 | 82 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 1997 |
USA
3 - 0
CAN
64%
22%
15%
|
83 | 79 | 4 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 1997 |
JAM
0 - 0
USA
30%
27%
43%
|
83 | 74 | 9 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 1997 |
CHN
1 - 1
USA
45%
25%
30%
|
83 | 77 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Paraguay
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Apr. 1997 |
PAR
3 - 1
URU
42%
28%
30%
|
88 | 89 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 1997 |
PAR
2 - 1
COL
42%
30%
28%
|
88 | 90 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 1997 |
PAR
2 - 1
PER
61%
25%
15%
|
88 | 81 | 7 | 0 |
| 12 Jan. 1997 |
VEN
0 - 2
PAR
17%
23%
60%
|
88 | 60 | 28 | 0 |
| 06 Jan. 1997 |
PAR
2 - 0
ARM
82%
13%
5%
|
87 | 69 | 18 | +1 |