USA vs Paraguay analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
65.8%
Win probability
2.4
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3%
4-0
4.1%
5-1
2.2%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
6.9%
3-0
6.8%
4-1
4.6%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
12.9%
2-0
8.6%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
2.6%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
19.3%
1-0
7.1%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
4.3%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
22%
18.1%
Draw
0-0
3%
1-1
8%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
18.1%
16.1%
Win probability
1.12
Expected goals
0-1
3.3%
1-2
4.4%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
10.2%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
4.2%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
USA
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Jul. 1930 |
USA
3 - 0
BEL
58%
20%
22%
|
75 | 71 | 4 | 0 |
| 10 Jun. 1928 |
POL
3 - 3
USA
56%
21%
23%
|
75 | 73 | 2 | 0 |
| 30 May. 1928 |
ARG
11 - 2
USA
57%
22%
22%
|
76 | 82 | 6 | -1 |
| 06 Nov. 1926 |
USA
6 - 2
CAN
70%
17%
14%
|
75 | 65 | 10 | +1 |
| 08 Nov. 1925 |
USA
6 - 1
CAN
68%
18%
15%
|
75 | 66 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Paraguay
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Nov. 1929 |
PAR
5 - 0
PER
52%
22%
26%
|
69 | 70 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 1929 |
ARG
4 - 1
PAR
65%
20%
15%
|
69 | 84 | 15 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 1929 |
URU
0 - 3
PAR
72%
16%
12%
|
67 | 83 | 16 | +2 |
| 19 Aug. 1928 |
PAR
1 - 1
URU
32%
24%
45%
|
67 | 83 | 16 | 0 |
| 15 Aug. 1928 |
PAR
3 - 1
URU
30%
24%
46%
|
65 | 84 | 19 | +2 |