USA vs New Zealand analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
79.7%
Win probability
2.57
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.7%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
2.1%
5-0
3.9%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.1%
+5
5%
4-0
7.6%
5-1
2.3%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
10.3%
3-0
11.8%
4-1
4.6%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
17.2%
2-0
13.8%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.5%
1-0
10.8%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.6%
13.7%
Draw
0-0
4.2%
1-1
6.5%
2-2
2.5%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
13.7%
6.6%
Win probability
0.6
Expected goals
0-1
2.5%
1-2
2%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
5.1%
0-2
0.8%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.2%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
USA
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Sep. 2024 |
USA
1 - 2
CAN
69%
19%
13%
|
89 | 83 | 6 | 0 |
| 02 Jul. 2024 |
USA
0 - 1
URU
37%
24%
38%
|
90 | 92 | 2 | -1 |
| 28 Jun. 2024 |
PAN
2 - 1
USA
16%
22%
62%
|
90 | 81 | 9 | 0 |
| 24 Jun. 2024 |
USA
2 - 0
BOL
81%
13%
6%
|
90 | 73 | 17 | 0 |
| 13 Jun. 2024 |
USA
1 - 1
BRA
20%
22%
58%
|
90 | 96 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
New Zealand
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Sep. 2024 |
MEX
3 - 0
NZL
74%
17%
9%
|
68 | 89 | 21 | 0 |
| 30 Jun. 2024 |
NZL
3 - 0
VAN
76%
17%
8%
|
67 | 44 | 23 | +1 |
| 27 Jun. 2024 |
NZL
5 - 0
TAH
74%
17%
9%
|
67 | 45 | 22 | 0 |
| 21 Jun. 2024 |
VAN
0 - 4
NZL
11%
20%
70%
|
67 | 44 | 23 | 0 |
| 18 Jun. 2024 |
NZL
3 - 0
SOL
70%
19%
11%
|
67 | 49 | 18 | 0 |