USA vs Moldova analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
73.2%
Win probability
2.55
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.2%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.7%
5-0
2.9%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.2%
4-0
5.6%
5-1
2.6%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
8.7%
3-0
8.8%
4-1
5%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
15.2%
2-0
10.4%
3-1
7.9%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.9%
1-0
8.1%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.7%
15.8%
Draw
0-0
3.2%
1-1
7.3%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
15.8%
11%
Win probability
0.89
Expected goals
0-1
2.9%
1-2
3.3%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
7.6%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
2.6%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
USA
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Apr. 1994 |
USA
1 - 1
MDA
74%
15%
10%
|
79 | 70 | 9 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 1994 |
USA
2 - 2
BOL
60%
21%
19%
|
79 | 75 | 4 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 1994 |
USA
1 - 1
KOR
34%
28%
38%
|
79 | 86 | 7 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 1994 |
USA
1 - 3
SWE
24%
28%
48%
|
79 | 91 | 12 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 1994 |
USA
1 - 1
BOL
59%
21%
20%
|
79 | 75 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Moldova
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Apr. 1994 |
USA
1 - 1
MDA
74%
15%
10%
|
70 | 79 | 9 | 0 |