USA vs Mexico analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
42.4%
Win probability
1.63
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.2%
3-0
3.4%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
5.9%
2-0
6.2%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.7%
1-0
7.6%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.8%
23.9%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.9%
33.7%
Win probability
1.43
Expected goals
0-1
6.7%
1-2
7.8%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
18.2%
0-2
4.8%
1-3
3.7%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
9.8%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
USA
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Jul. 2021 |
QAT
0 - 1
USA
23%
24%
53%
|
90 | 84 | 6 | 0 |
| 26 Jul. 2021 |
USA
1 - 0
JAM
81%
13%
6%
|
90 | 78 | 12 | 0 |
| 18 Jul. 2021 |
USA
1 - 0
CAN
78%
14%
8%
|
90 | 80 | 10 | 0 |
| 16 Jul. 2021 |
MTQ
1 - 6
USA
9%
18%
73%
|
90 | 64 | 26 | 0 |
| 12 Jul. 2021 |
USA
1 - 0
HTI
85%
11%
4%
|
90 | 70 | 20 | 0 |
Matches
Mexico
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Jul. 2021 |
MEX
2 - 1
CAN
74%
17%
9%
|
92 | 81 | 11 | 0 |
| 25 Jul. 2021 |
MEX
3 - 0
HND
74%
17%
9%
|
91 | 81 | 10 | +1 |
| 19 Jul. 2021 |
MEX
1 - 0
SLV
81%
14%
5%
|
91 | 73 | 18 | 0 |
| 15 Jul. 2021 |
GTM
0 - 3
MEX
11%
18%
71%
|
91 | 72 | 19 | 0 |
| 11 Jul. 2021 |
MEX
0 - 0
TTO
81%
14%
5%
|
91 | 67 | 24 | 0 |