USA vs Mexico analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
34.9%
Win probability
1.15
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
2.4%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.1%
+3
3.4%
2-0
6.4%
3-1
2.9%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
9.8%
1-0
11.1%
2-1
7.6%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.6%
28.1%
Draw
0-0
9.7%
1-1
13.2%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
28.1%
36.9%
Win probability
1.19
Expected goals
0-1
11.5%
1-2
7.8%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
21.3%
0-2
6.8%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
10.5%
0-3
2.7%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.1%
-3
3.7%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
USA
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Jun. 1996 |
USA
0 - 2
BOL
62%
22%
16%
|
84 | 79 | 5 | 0 |
| 09 Jun. 1996 |
USA
2 - 1
IRL
41%
28%
31%
|
84 | 88 | 4 | 0 |
| 26 May. 1996 |
USA
2 - 1
SCO
36%
28%
36%
|
83 | 89 | 6 | +1 |
| 21 Jan. 1996 |
USA
3 - 0
GTM
65%
21%
14%
|
83 | 75 | 8 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 1996 |
BRA
1 - 0
USA
84%
12%
4%
|
83 | 98 | 15 | 0 |
Matches
Mexico
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Jun. 1996 |
IRL
2 - 2
MEX
43%
28%
29%
|
90 | 88 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 Jun. 1996 |
MEX
1 - 0
BOL
69%
20%
11%
|
90 | 79 | 11 | 0 |
| 29 May. 1996 |
JPN
3 - 2
MEX
33%
29%
39%
|
90 | 82 | 8 | 0 |
| 23 May. 1996 |
MEX
0 - 0
YUG
34%
27%
39%
|
90 | 93 | 3 | 0 |
| 07 Feb. 1996 |
CHI
2 - 1
MEX
41%
28%
30%
|
90 | 87 | 3 | 0 |