USA vs Mexico analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
35.9%
Win probability
1.11
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
2.5%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.1%
+3
3.4%
2-0
6.8%
3-1
2.8%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
10%
1-0
12.2%
2-1
7.5%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
+1
21.3%
29.1%
Draw
0-0
11%
1-1
13.4%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
29.1%
35%
Win probability
1.1
Expected goals
0-1
12%
1-2
7.3%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
-1
21%
0-2
6.6%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
9.7%
0-3
2.4%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
3.2%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
-6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
USA
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Jul. 1991 |
USA
3 - 2
CRC
45%
27%
28%
|
75 | 83 | 8 | 0 |
| 01 Jul. 1991 |
GTM
0 - 3
USA
50%
28%
22%
|
74 | 73 | 1 | +1 |
| 29 Jun. 1991 |
USA
2 - 1
TTO
66%
21%
13%
|
74 | 64 | 10 | 0 |
| 01 Jun. 1991 |
USA
1 - 1
IRL
35%
31%
34%
|
74 | 87 | 13 | 0 |
| 19 May. 1991 |
USA
0 - 1
ARG
24%
27%
49%
|
74 | 90 | 16 | 0 |
Matches
Mexico
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Jul. 1991 |
MEX
1 - 1
HND
70%
20%
10%
|
90 | 78 | 12 | 0 |
| 30 Jun. 1991 |
CAN
1 - 3
MEX
32%
30%
38%
|
90 | 72 | 18 | 0 |
| 28 Jun. 1991 |
MEX
4 - 1
JAM
73%
18%
9%
|
90 | 65 | 25 | 0 |
| 07 May. 1991 |
MEX
0 - 2
URU
59%
25%
16%
|
90 | 88 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 1991 |
CRC
0 - 0
MEX
33%
30%
38%
|
90 | 83 | 7 | 0 |