USA vs Mexico analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
24.6%
Win probability
0.81
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
1.2%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.5%
2-0
4.3%
3-1
1.4%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.9%
1-0
10.7%
2-1
5.3%
3-2
0.9%
4-3
0.1%
+1
16.9%
29.7%
Draw
0-0
13.1%
1-1
13%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
29.7%
45.7%
Win probability
1.22
Expected goals
0-1
16%
1-2
7.9%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.1%
-1
25.3%
0-2
9.7%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
13.4%
0-3
4%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.1%
-3
5%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
USA
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Feb. 1991 |
BMU
1 - 0
USA
26%
27%
48%
|
72 | 53 | 19 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 1991 |
USA
0 - 1
SUI
35%
26%
39%
|
73 | 83 | 10 | -1 |
| 19 Dec. 1990 |
POR
1 - 0
USA
68%
22%
10%
|
73 | 87 | 14 | 0 |
| 21 Nov. 1990 |
USA
0 - 0
SUN
24%
29%
48%
|
72 | 93 | 21 | +1 |
| 18 Nov. 1990 |
TTO
0 - 0
USA
41%
24%
35%
|
72 | 64 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Mexico
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Jan. 1991 |
MEX
0 - 0
COL
71%
20%
9%
|
90 | 83 | 7 | 0 |
| 12 Dec. 1990 |
BRA
0 - 0
MEX
72%
19%
10%
|
90 | 95 | 5 | 0 |
| 02 Jun. 1990 |
BEL
3 - 0
MEX
48%
28%
25%
|
90 | 88 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 May. 1990 |
CAN
2 - 1
MEX
25%
30%
46%
|
91 | 72 | 19 | -1 |
| 17 Apr. 1990 |
MEX
2 - 0
COL
74%
18%
8%
|
90 | 83 | 7 | +1 |