USA vs Morocco analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
68.2%
Win probability
1.85
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.9%
4-0
4.3%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
5.3%
3-0
9.4%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
12.1%
2-0
15.1%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.3%
1-0
16.3%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.1%
+1
26.7%
21%
Draw
0-0
8.8%
1-1
9.4%
2-2
2.5%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
21%
10.8%
Win probability
0.58
Expected goals
0-1
5.1%
1-2
2.7%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0%
-1
8.3%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
-2
2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
USA
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Apr. 2006 |
USA
1 - 1
JAM
75%
18%
8%
|
93 | 82 | 11 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 2006 |
GER
4 - 1
USA
66%
20%
14%
|
93 | 95 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2006 |
POL
0 - 1
USA
47%
27%
27%
|
93 | 92 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 2006 |
USA
4 - 0
GTM
74%
18%
8%
|
93 | 81 | 12 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2006 |
USA
3 - 2
JPN
54%
25%
21%
|
93 | 90 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Morocco
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Jan. 2006 |
LBY
0 - 0
MAR
16%
25%
59%
|
87 | 73 | 14 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 2006 |
EGY
0 - 0
MAR
63%
20%
17%
|
87 | 88 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2006 |
MAR
0 - 1
CIV
53%
24%
23%
|
88 | 85 | 3 | -1 |
| 17 Jan. 2006 |
MAR
2 - 2
ANG
65%
22%
13%
|
88 | 76 | 12 | 0 |
| 14 Jan. 2006 |
MAR
1 - 0
ZIM
65%
22%
13%
|
88 | 77 | 11 | 0 |