USA vs Israel analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
61.8%
Win probability
2.58
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.1%
4-0
3.3%
5-1
2.5%
6-2
0.8%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
6.6%
3-0
5.1%
4-1
4.8%
5-2
1.8%
6-3
0.4%
7-4
<0%
+3
12%
2-0
5.9%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
3.5%
5-3
0.9%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
17.7%
1-0
4.6%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
5.4%
4-3
1.7%
5-4
0.3%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.5%
17.9%
Draw
0-0
1.8%
1-1
6.6%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
2.6%
4-4
0.6%
5-5
0.1%
0
17.9%
20.2%
Win probability
1.45
Expected goals
0-1
2.6%
1-2
4.8%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
11.6%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
5.6%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0.1%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
USA
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Sep. 1968 |
USA
3 - 3
ISR
62%
18%
20%
|
65 | 66 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 May. 1964 |
USA
0 - 10
ENG
25%
20%
54%
|
65 | 89 | 24 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 1961 |
COL
2 - 0
USA
52%
19%
29%
|
65 | 61 | 4 | 0 |
| 28 May. 1959 |
USA
1 - 8
ENG
31%
22%
47%
|
65 | 87 | 22 | 0 |
| 28 Nov. 1956 |
YUG
9 - 1
USA
87%
8%
5%
|
66 | 84 | 18 | -1 |
Matches
Israel
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Sep. 1968 |
USA
3 - 3
ISR
62%
18%
20%
|
66 | 65 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 1968 |
ISR
2 - 3
NIR
48%
22%
30%
|
67 | 71 | 4 | -1 |
| 19 May. 1968 |
IRN
2 - 1
ISR
69%
17%
14%
|
68 | 71 | 3 | -1 |
| 17 May. 1968 |
ISR
4 - 1
TWN
83%
10%
7%
|
67 | 44 | 23 | +1 |
| 14 May. 1968 |
MMR
1 - 0
ISR
64%
19%
18%
|
68 | 65 | 3 | -1 |