USA vs Iceland analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
71%
Win probability
2.26
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2.4%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.1%
4-0
5.2%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.3%
3-0
9.3%
4-1
4%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.1%
2-0
12.3%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.2%
1-0
10.9%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.6%
17.7%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
8.4%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
17.7%
11.2%
Win probability
0.77
Expected goals
0-1
3.7%
1-2
3.3%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
8.1%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.5%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
USA
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Apr. 1994 |
USA
3 - 0
MDA
73%
16%
11%
|
79 | 70 | 9 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 1994 |
USA
1 - 1
MDA
74%
15%
10%
|
79 | 70 | 9 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 1994 |
USA
2 - 2
BOL
60%
21%
19%
|
79 | 75 | 4 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 1994 |
USA
1 - 1
KOR
34%
28%
38%
|
79 | 86 | 7 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 1994 |
USA
1 - 3
SWE
24%
28%
48%
|
79 | 91 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
Iceland
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Apr. 1994 |
KSA
2 - 0
ISL
73%
17%
10%
|
69 | 80 | 11 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 1993 |
TUN
3 - 1
ISL
62%
21%
16%
|
70 | 74 | 4 | -1 |
| 08 Sep. 1993 |
ISL
1 - 0
LUX
81%
13%
6%
|
69 | 36 | 33 | +1 |
| 31 Aug. 1993 |
ISL
0 - 1
USA
36%
26%
39%
|
70 | 79 | 9 | -1 |
| 16 Jun. 1993 |
ISL
2 - 0
HUN
21%
26%
52%
|
68 | 88 | 20 | +2 |